Research shows political pundits are wrong as often as they're right

By Dave Bullard/WRVO

http://stream.publicbroadcasting.net/production/mp3/wrvo/local-wrvo-966934.mp3

Hamilton, NY – Research by a team of students at Hamilton College in Clinton shows that the people who offer their opinions on the nation's top op/ed pages and on TV talk shows predict what will happen next only about half of the time.

Some pundits, like the New York Times' economist Paul Krugman, are nearly always right. Some, like conservative social critic Cal Thomas, are usually wrong.

Overall, said the lead researcher, "it's a coin flip".